One sitting candidate will still sink

• There are 8 members re-contesting from the sitting members. And all are doing well. They stand from 1 to 10 place in current situation
• There are 3 seats left. Dhinal Shah is sure, he is on among top fives in the chart, so no one can stop him
• Now 2 seats left. Nilesh Shah is also in top 7 and he is also sure to win
• Now one seat left. Zavare is in first 11. Three Pune eliminations will increase his votes, so he is sure to get in the council
• Now we have no seat left, but some very strong candidates left, like Nihar Jambusria, Tarun Ghia and Durgesh Buch
• Out of these three minimum one will surely make it
• So if one will make it, one sitting will surely sink
• Gujarat has 5 candidates to be eliminated before Durgesh Buch
• These all 5 together carry around 1900 votes. The only person left from Gujarat will Durgesh. So whatever chunk out of these Durgesh get, can put Durgesh above Tarun or Nihar or some other sitting candidate. And that will be really game. Only one from Tarun or Nihar can come. So either of them once eliminated, will give the other a very large chunk of votes in subsequent preferences. So here lies the fun. Who reaches where. So the rank in first round is not important, how the elimination round works, there lies the key.
• B K Rathi's elimination can move B M Agarwal upwards. Then one elimination from BM Agarwal and Praful Chhajed can move one out of these two upward, and if they move him above any current candidate can cause elimination of another person feeling safe himself.
• So its interesting to see how things move. But its sure except one or two, all the sitting candidates are safe. Cheers!!