Shruti or Vandana or both?

Out of two female candidates Shruti Shah and Vandana Dodhia who will win? or both can win? As per my calculation, the game has become very very interesting. The fate of them is locked in the subsequent preferences of Jayesh Kala and other Mumbaikars to be eliminated. Shruti is sitting candidate so she has an advantage. You have seen in the trends, Shruti started with only 516 first prefetrence votes and got 291 subsequent preferences and reached to 24th position as of now, whereas Vandana started much above at 776 votes but could corner only 202 additional votes and now at 27th position. But difference between them is not too large and a couple of elimination can change the situation. So from my side, the probability of winning of one, is 100%, both of them is 50%.