Let's talk WIRC

Let’s talk regional council. Not much of the commentator has worked on this. There are 22 seats in WIRC. Out of these 13 candidates are repeating and in the fray. The pro incumbency factor always plays in ICAI elections in contrast to general elections. Most likely, all the sitting members are going to win the election. There are nine sitting candidates from Mumbai, if you count Dilip Apte from Pune.  There are four candidates who are not re-contesting from Mumbai, Shrinivas Joshi, Durgesh Kabra, Sanjeev Lalan, and N C Hegde (All are contesting now central council election). So obviously there are four seats most likely to be filled by the Mumbai candidates.  And who are those four likely candidates?

Can Mumbai get one addition seat? If yes then who will lose? Nagpur?

And what about Dilip Apte? Shall we consider him a Mumbai candidate or Pune?

Does it matter? Does location matter? Yes. Though WIRC is one single constituency, but vote patterns and voting style are localized. Need proof? Any Mumbai candidate eliminating give its large chunk to another Mumbai candidate only. Any one from Ahmedabad eliminating giving the major portion to another Ahmedabadite.

Can Pune improves? If we consider Apte as Pune candidate, then can Pune have this time three candidates in WIRC? If yes, then at whose cost? Mumbai or Nagpur?

Can Ahmedabad increase its tally to three this time? If yes, then whose loss? Mumbai? Or Nagpur?

Can Surat lose its seat in WIRC?

Let’s begin answering the questions. Let me begin with Mumbai. See my next dispatch after lunch…