Central Council battle seems to be open for 3 seats only

Out of total 11 existing central council members, only 6 are re-contesting.  All of them are comfortable. The only curiosity is Srinivas Joshi v/s. Mangesh Kinare.  Here is the list of current Central council members and those who are contesting. 

The 5 sitting members not in fray, their place can be replaced as follows:

• Gujarat will get one seat vacated by Jay Chhaira, and it is very difficult to be replaced by a Surat candidate, despite Surat polling 3520 votes, it is an extremely uphill task. Analyst says, out of these minimum 700 first preference votes will go out to out of Surat candidates and majority to Mumbai brothers. Though, Surat supporters still claims, Surat will deliver a seat. As mentioned in another post, Sunil Patodia will be the highest taker from outside. 
• This Gujarat seats should go to my Purushottam Khandelwal, this is what my assessment is. There are people have different views, arguing, Vishal Doshi can beg this, he will get seconds from Surat and Mumbai and some parts of Maharashtra. The biggest disadvantage Vishal has is he will start the race below Purushottam.  The best second preference votes he can add to his kity is from elimination of Hardik from Surat. Balkishan elimination will give votes his Mumbai brothers and also to Purushottam Now Vishal's only chance to concur is he remains above Purushottam after elimination of Surat candidates, which seems unlikely at this stage. Purushottam will start minimum 500 above Vishal that what trends looks like. So there are very bright chances, Purushottam takes the second Gujarat seat.
• Sunil Patodia and Priti Savla are two candidates who appears to make to council with certainty. 
• So these become 9 seats. So there are basically 2 seats for which rest of the contenders are competing. 
• Drushti Desai - Very good chance
• Vishnu Agarwal - Worked meticulously across the Maharashtra mufassil
• Piyush Chhajed - A focused campaigner and many industry voters
• Umesh Sharma - Will start at high, but will dry up on seconds
• Sushrut Chitale - Mangesh and Srinivas are very strong and that is a disadvantage
• Rakesh Rathi - Reliance on industry and big four has limitations beyond a number