Dhiraj or Anil OR Both?

• So now we can see things on the expected lines. The million dollar question is now whether Dhiraj and Anil both can make it or only one of them? And if ONLY one of them then who?

• Hope followers of Julfesh would have reckoned by now with the fact that he is no more in the race. It is matter of time only. But the most interesting thing is when he is eliminated what he does with these three gentlemen, Dhiraj, Anil and Parag?
• The moment Durgesh Kabra is eliminated, one of my dear friends with whom I worked in regional council, Dhiraj and Anil Bhandari will push Julfesh below them. so the next elimination will of of Julfesh and not of Anil. Parag may by this time move to 11th position.
• If Durgesh Kabra gives more than 250 votes each to Dhiraj and Anil, in that case Parag can move to 12th position with elimination of Durgesh and in that scenario, game over and council is decided.
• If Parag hold on his 10th or 11th position, in that case Julfesh become the deciding factor. Whomsoever out of these three competitions he gives the least vote, he will be the sufferer.So Game is still open.

Here is the status after Sanjeev Lalan, my friend with whom also I got opportunity to work with when he was secretary of WIRC.

Position	NAME OF CANDIDATE	Votes
1	SHIWAJI ZAWARE-PUNE	3230
2	NILESH VIKAMSEY-MUMBAI	3230
3	DHINAL SHAH-AHMEDABAD	3146
4	NANDKISHORE HEGDE-MUMBAI	3074
5	JAY  CHHAIRA-SURAT	2951
6	MANGESH KINARE-MUMBAI	2865
7	TARUN GHIA-MUMBAI	2755
8	NIHAR JAMBUSARIA -MUMBAI	2663
9	PRAFULLA CHHAJED-MUMBAI	2478
10	PARAG RAVAL-AHMEDABAD	2456
11	JULFESH SHAH -NAGPUR	2326
12	ANIL BHANDARI-MUMBAI	2246
13	DHIRAJ KHANDELWAL-MUMBAI	2243
14	DURGESH KABRA-MUMBAI	1973
15	SANJEEV LALAN-MUMBAI	0
16	SHRINIWAS JOSHI-MUMBAI	0
17	BRIJMOHAN AGARWAL -MUMBAI	0
18	MAHESH MADKHOLKAR-THANE	0
19	PIYUSH CHHAJED-MUMBAI	0
20	SANJAY PAWAR-PUNE	0
21	NARENDRA SANGANI-MUMBAI	0
22	NARENDRA GUPTA-MUMBAI	0

Two out of Three

Looks like the CCM battle is in final stage. Two out of three. Rest all seem to have settled. Unfortunately I see the exit of my dear friend Julfesh Shah from Nagpur. Things as it looks like at this stage, all the 9 candidates are already settled and for rest of two sets these three candidates are in competition. :

• Parag Raval
• Dhiraj Khandelwal
• Ani Bhandari

All the best to all of them.

After Shrinivas Mangesh jumped up

So the Mumbai magic finally started working,. I told you. Mangesh Kinare is now jumped to 6th place. Nihar and Tarun Ghia too has taken over and now Parag is down to 9th place.  Still 8000 Mumbai votes to be distributed on elimination, 6000 if it is Julfesh to be eliminated.

Now turn of Sanjeev Lalan to be eliminated. And you will see Nihar and tarun Gia getting lots of votes from him. And other Mumbai fellow friends Prafulla Chhajed, Dhiraj and Anil Bhandari too will get votes in hundreds. That point of time you will see Julfesh at 11 or 12th. 

Durgesh Kabra elimination will decide fate of Parag that where he stands after that. he may stand at no. 11 and get in, or may be Anil Bhandari and Dhiraj Khandelwal can make him out of the fray.

Here is the tally:

Position	NAME OF CANDIDATE	Votes
1	SHIWAJI ZAWARE-PUNE	3230
2	NILESH VIKAMSEY-MUMBAI	3230
3	DHINAL SHAH-AHMEDABAD	3055
4	NANDKISHORE HEGDE-MUMBAI	2919
5	JAY  CHHAIRA-SURAT	2900
6	MANGESH KINARE-MUMBAI	2763
7	TARUN GHIA-MUMBAI	2529
8	PARAG RAVAL-AHMEDABAD	2421
9	NIHAR JAMBUSARIA -MUMBAI	2358
10	JULFESH SHAH -NAGPUR	2307
11	PRAFULLA CHHAJED-MUMBAI	2299
12	ANIL BHANDARI-MUMBAI	2116
13	DHIRAJ KHANDELWAL-MUMBAI	2093
14	DURGESH KABRA-MUMBAI	1973
15	SANJEEV LALAN-MUMBAI	1899
16	SHRINIWAS JOSHI-MUMBAI	0
17	BRIJMOHAN AGARWAL -MUMBAI	0
18	MAHESH MADKHOLKAR-THANE	0
19	PIYUSH CHHAJED-MUMBAI	0
20	SANJAY PAWAR-PUNE	0
21	NARENDRA SANGANI-MUMBAI	0
22	NARENDRA GUPTA-MUMBAI	0

CCM: Post BM Agarwal elimination Dhiraj has become strong

As expected Dhiraj has become strong after elimination of BM Agarwal. He got highest 218 votes from BM. So now it has become really interesting and more complex.

I am asked why I think Parag is still fighting a battle and not in comfort zone? The reasons are as follows:

• There are still 5 candidates are to be eliminated before the final result and who are carrying 9500 votes.  And all the candidates are from Mumbai. So on distribution of these 9500 votes of the eliminating candidates, the major benefit from these votes would be to Mumbai candidates only and Parag and Julfesh will get the minor transfer of votes, not a big chunk. In such situation, though Parag is at no. 6 from beginning, he will keep coming down. He has made very strong start and that is why he still has 90% chance to win, but not 100%. 
• On elimination of Shrinivas Joshi, Mangesh Kinnare will jump above. 
• One interesting thing, Tarun Ghia and Nihar has always been fierece election competitor and in results, Tarun Ghia has always had upper edge and more votes.

Here is the status after BM Agarwal distribution:

Position	NAME OF CANDIDATE	Votes
1	SHIWAJI ZAWARE-PUNE	3230
2	NILESH VIKAMSEY-MUMBAI	3230
3	DHINAL SHAH-AHMEDABAD	3031
4	JAY  CHHAIRA-SURAT	2874
5	NANDKISHORE HEGDE-MUMBAI	2787
6	PARAG RAVAL-AHMEDABAD	2409
7	TARUN GHIA-MUMBAI	2317
8	JULFESH SHAH -NAGPUR	2283
9	NIHAR JAMBUSARIA -MUMBAI	2242
10	PRAFULLA CHHAJED-MUMBAI	2134
11	MANGESH KINARE-MUMBAI	2052
12	DHIRAJ KHANDELWAL-MUMBAI	2038
13	ANIL BHANDARI-MUMBAI	2015
14	DURGESH KABRA-MUMBAI	1888
15	SANJEEV LALAN-MUMBAI	1814
16	SHRINIWAS JOSHI-MUMBAI	1770
17	BRIJMOHAN AGARWAL -MUMBAI	0
18	MAHESH MADKHOLKAR-THANE	0
19	PIYUSH CHHAJED-MUMBAI	0
20	SANJAY PAWAR-PUNE	0
21	NARENDRA SANGANI-MUMBAI	0
22	NARENDRA GUPTA-MUMBAI	0