As per pundits : Who will get how many First Preference Votes in Central Council.

 Here is what poll pundits says on the range of likely first preference votes for Central Council elections. Your comments are welcome on this:

Prediction by Pundits..

Central Council battle seems to be open for 3 seats only

Out of total 11 existing central council members, only 6 are re-contesting.  All of them are comfortable. The only curiosity is Srinivas Joshi v/s. Mangesh Kinare.  Here is the list of current Central council members and those who are contesting. 

The 5 sitting members not in fray, their place can be replaced as follows:

• Gujarat will get one seat vacated by Jay Chhaira, and it is very difficult to be replaced by a Surat candidate, despite Surat polling 3520 votes, it is an extremely uphill task. Analyst says, out of these minimum 700 first preference votes will go out to out of Surat candidates and majority to Mumbai brothers. Though, Surat supporters still claims, Surat will deliver a seat. As mentioned in another post, Sunil Patodia will be the highest taker from outside. 
• This Gujarat seats should go to my Purushottam Khandelwal, this is what my assessment is. There are people have different views, arguing, Vishal Doshi can beg this, he will get seconds from Surat and Mumbai and some parts of Maharashtra. The biggest disadvantage Vishal has is he will start the race below Purushottam.  The best second preference votes he can add to his kity is from elimination of Hardik from Surat. Balkishan elimination will give votes his Mumbai brothers and also to Purushottam Now Vishal's only chance to concur is he remains above Purushottam after elimination of Surat candidates, which seems unlikely at this stage. Purushottam will start minimum 500 above Vishal that what trends looks like. So there are very bright chances, Purushottam takes the second Gujarat seat.
• Sunil Patodia and Priti Savla are two candidates who appears to make to council with certainty. 
• So these become 9 seats. So there are basically 2 seats for which rest of the contenders are competing. 
• Drushti Desai - Very good chance
• Vishnu Agarwal - Worked meticulously across the Maharashtra mufassil
• Piyush Chhajed - A focused campaigner and many industry voters
• Umesh Sharma - Will start at high, but will dry up on seconds
• Sushrut Chitale - Mangesh and Srinivas are very strong and that is a disadvantage
• Rakesh Rathi - Reliance on industry and big four has limitations beyond a number

185 out of 252 postal ballots are valid

 After an exercise of one and half day on postal ballots. Finally what you see is ONLY 185 votes for Central council and 182 votes for regional council are valid. Here are the various reasons for invalid votes:

• 17 not signed
• 18 came by mode which is not allowed
• 12 came from different country than the country of residence
• 5 signature not matched etc etc

Question: Is it worth the efforts? What's the way out?

Day called off. Today's Process in pictures

 

Postal Ballots and tallying of boxes and ballots will go on till tomorrow

Those waiting for counting updates, need to be patient for one more day. Postal ballots validation is done. Now the booth wise ballot counting and tallying their numbers with votes polled is being carried out. The votes polled in other regions too will be tallied. So nothing major going to happen today. 

ICAI Election Counting Process

ICAI Elections 2021 - Results EP-1

 

Who is winning ICAI Elections?

After the ICAI regional council and central council elections, there is an anxious waiting period for results. A long, tiresome wait for the results is boring and intolerable. So let us spend time checking your psephology skills.. We are currently focusing our attention on the western region. Please tell us who you think wins the Central Council election and Regional council election.

So we take the first question and you can answer it in the comments. Feel free to be anonymous if you don't want to reveal yourself. 

Who do you think will receive the most first preference votes in the Western Region Central Council and how much (an estimated number)?

More questions follows.