23 December 2012

RC: Status after elimination of Ashok Jain

Rank
Name
City
Total
1st Pref
1
Parag Raval
Ahmedabad
2067
2067
2
Sushrut Chitale
Mumbai
1555
1555
3
Priti Savla
Thane
1514
1514
4
Mangesh Kinare
Mumbai
1400
1290
5
Shardul Shah
Mumbai
1359
1166
6
Sunil Patodia
Mumbai
1345
1205
7
Abhishek Nagori
Vadodara
1307
1226
8
Dhiraj Khandelwal
Mumbai
1253
1069
9
Julfesh Shah
Nagpur
1069
1000
10
Hardik Shah
Surat
1056
932
11
Vishnu Kumar Agarwal
Mumbai
1049
914
12
Satyanarayan Mundada
Pune
1032
819
13
Priyam Shah
Ahmedabad
1007
805
14
Subodh Kedia
Ahmedabad
1005
686
15
Neel Majithia
Mumbai
894
816
16
Anil Bhandari  Satyanarayan
Mumbai
894
772
17
Girish Kulkarni
Aurangabad
879
775
18
Dilip Apte Moreshwar
Pune
808
698
19
Sandeep Jain
Mumbai
804
596
20
Mahesh Madkholkar
Thane
804
682
21
Chandrakant Pawar
Nashik
804
728
22
Sarvesh Joshi
Pune
787
661
23
Ramesha Shetty
Mumbai
763
717
24
Abhijit Kelkar
Nagpur
756
655
25
Vandana Dodhia
Mumbai
731
574
26
Shruti Shah
Mumbai
727
516
27
Jayesh Kala
Mumbai
674
568
28
Mahendra Mehta
Mumbai
668
570
29
Vijaykant Kulkarni
Pune
661
582
30
Mitish Modi
Surat
641
534
31
Lalit Laxminarayan Bajaj
Bhayandar
619
509
32
Kamlesh Saboo
Thane
580
494
33
Dayaram Paliwal
Bhayandar
537
421


Lot will change after elimination of Ashok Jain

Mumbai will know who have the better chances from their candidates after elimination of Ashok Jain which is in progress and is delayed due to some reconciliation errors. Ashok will move and shake many people, followed by Raj Jagetiya. The following candidates has their future dependent on these two eliminations and you will see my table with new amber colours and green colours once these eliminations are done. 

Sandeep Jain, Mahendra Mehta, Jayesh kala, and Ramesh Shetty would come to know, where they stand and it will be like a show down, who has got vote cards..

So keep watching...

Mumbai Candidates: Who is eating into your second preference Votes?

Mumbai candidates, who is eating your second preference votes? See the table below. The candidates who are eating the maximum second preference votes are those, who are sure to win and already in green since beginning. Rest of them are sure to loose. Ashok Jain already eliminated and Raj Jagetiya will follow

Sr. No.
Rank
Name
City
Total
1st Pref
2nd Pref
1
25
Shruti Shah
Mumbai
711
516
195
2
5
Shardul Shah
Mumbai
1327
1166
161
3
8
Dhiraj Khandelwal
Mumbai
1225
1069
156
4
24
Vandana Dodhia
Mumbai
721
574
147
5
35
Ashok Chand Jain
Mumbai
512
390
122
6
6
Sunil Patodia
Mumbai
1322
1205
117
7
11
Vishnu Kumar Agarwal
Mumbai
1028
914
114
8
4
Mangesh Kinare
Mumbai
1400
1290
110
9
16
Anil Bhandari  Satyanarayan
Mumbai
877
772
105
10
26
Sandeep Jain
Mumbai
680
596
84
11
28
Mahendra Mehta
Mumbai
653
570
83
12
29
Jayesh Kala
Mumbai
649
568
81
13
15
Neel Majithia
Mumbai
887
816
71
14
34
Raj Jagetia
Mumbai
525
476
49
15
22
Ramesha Shetty
Mumbai
756
717
39


PUNE: It looks like Pune will have three seats

As Satyanarayan Mundada has already crossed 1000 votes, he is safe and confirmed. I understand anyone who has reached to 1000 votes is secured and no one can move him or her. Here Dilip Apte (800 votes) and Sarvesh Joshi (783 Votes) are not far behind. They need 200 hundred each to get into safe elected zones. As Vijaykant Kulkarni (658 votes) is now sure to be eliminated, it can be reasonably assumed that his votes will fill the gap of Dilip Apte and Sarvesh Joshi to reach the 1000 votes safe zone. Majority of vote would go to Sarvesh Joshi, but still Dilip Apte will get something which can give him a reasonable boost. Dilip Apte has an advantage of Mumbai. His Karma Bhoomi is Mumbai, so he will also keep on getting some votes from Mumbai eliminations too. If you see their incremental votes, all of them have been able to received votes from second preference and this trend will continue.  See the table below, they have already secured 100 plus votes and elimination of Vijaykant Kulkarni (658 votes) is still pending.

Name

Total
1st
2nd  Pref
Satyanarayan Mundada
Pune
1026
819
207
Sarvesh Joshi
Pune
783
661
122
Dilip Apte Moreshwar
Pune
800
698
102


What is your views Punekars??? Write in comments below

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